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Analysis of measures to reduce the price-volatility of national and international markets for improved food security in developing conunties (ZEF_PriceVolatility)

Funding

Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn / ZEF (Center for Development Research University of Bonn)

Duration

Januar 2020 - April 2020

Overview

Modeling the effects of a changed Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) on food trade and production in Africa by means of the CAPRI simulation model.

Scenarios:

    1. Change Direct Payment Scenario

    2. More organic and animal friendly CAP

Sensitivity analyses of differnt developments in Africa:

    1. Status quo

    2. Improved export capacity due to changed supply elasticities for exporters from Africa.

Contributions of EuroCARE

  • 10-page summary (in German) of the model scenarios and results until 20.01.2020

  • Detailed report of method and results of the simulation in the form of a draft for the ZEF Discussion Paper Series until 30.04.2020