Model based assessment of EU energy and climate change policies for a post-2012 regime (post2012regime)
EU Commission, DG CLIMA (climate action)
December 2009 – January 2011
Project leader: ICCS (Institute of Communication and Computer Systems of the National Technical University of Athens), Athens, Greece
- EuroCARE GmbH
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
- Exergia (Energy and Environment Consultants), Athens, Greece
In 2011 the EU Commission issued the communication "A Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050" that entails reductions of EU GHG emissions by 80 to 95% below their 1990 levels and includes interim targets for 2020 and 2030. The underlying impact assessment required modelling support, projections and policy scenarios with appropriate long time horizon and sectoral and Member State level details. The Commission used a number of models which are linked together to some degree. In this project the quantitative tools have been updated and improved also concerning their interlinkage for better model based assessment of energy and climate change policies of the post 2012 period, so the period beyond the first committment period of the Kyoto protocoll.
The specific objectives of the project were:
- Updating or constructing of one or more baseline projections and variants thereof
- Assessment of the impacts of measures or packages of climate or climate relevant policy measures compared to the relevant baseline(s)
- User-friendly presentation of assumptions and detailed results on a website and in consultation processes with Member States
Contributions of EuroCARE
CAPRI delivered results for the baseline, decarbonisation scenarios and selected CAP reform scenarios. The project also served to reinforce the model linkages between PRIMES, CAPRI, GLOBIOM and GAINS and it developed the key elements for the use of both medium-run and long-run expert information in CAPRI outlook work such as under the EUCLIMIT projects.